We have a packed Sunday slate in the NFL this week, with 28 of the 32 teams in action. That gave us plenty to sift through, but also made it easier than ever for the value spots to rise to the top. We've got three such touchdown props for the weekend, one safer bet and two longer-odd plays that the situation suggests are worth jumping at.
It's sounding like it will be another week of Zamir White leading the Raiders running back room, as Josh Jacobs is doubtful for Sunday's game against the Colts.
That's a good sign for another big White game, as Indianapolis is allowing the fourth-most rushing yards per game to RBs and the fourth-most touchdowns to the position.
In two games without Jacobs, White has taken 39 carries for 214 yards and a touchdown. Expect another big showing from him here.
Now this could be fun. Do note that it's Jarrett Stidham throwing him the football here, but the Broncos receiving corps might be so short-handed that Johnson's role explodes here.
Courtland Sutton is already out, Marvin Mims is trending to miss this week, and Jerry Jeudy is also questionable while dealing with an illness.
All of a sudden, Brandon Johnson as WR4 could be Denver's WR1, and that's a great spot to be against the Los Angeles Chargers. The Chargers are allowing the third-most touchdowns to WRs and the third-most yards per pass attempt and passing yards per game.
Johnson scored last week and has four touchdowns on the year. This is a great price.
Dortch and the Arizona Cardinals are another team that on-paper should find some passing success against the Eagles. Philly has really had issues against WRs, allowing the most receptions and most touchdowns per game to the position.
Dortch is leading Arizona WRs in targets over the past three games, and given that, this +450 price is worth a small bet in our eyes.
Follow Griffin Carroll at griffybets.substack.com for data, trends and targets for every NFL game, plus all the off-season news you can use.
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